National Center for Water Quality Research

Below is a list of published peer-reviewed articles that use HTLP data or samples processed by our lab.

2024

Jung-Hun Song, Younggu Her, Youn Shik Park, Kwangsik Yoon, and Hakkwan Kim. Investigating the applicability and assumptions of the regression
relationship between flow discharge and nitrogen concentrations
for load estimation. Heliyon (2024) 10(1): e23603. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e23603

Peter J. Alsip, Mark D. Rowe, Alexander Kain, and Casey Godwin. Modeling attenuation of photosynthetically active radiation across the optical gradient in the Laurentian Great Lakes with application to Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2024). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2024.102364

Elizabeth R. Denison, Brittany N. Zepernick, R. Michael L. McKay, and Steven W. Wilhelm. Metatranscriptomic analysis reveals dissimilarity in viral community activity between an ice-free and ice-covered winter in Lake Erie. Microbial Ecology (2024): e00753-24. https://doi.org/10.1128/msystems.00753-24

Zihan Wei, Sarfaraz Alam, Miki Verma, Margaret Hilderbran, Yuchen Wu, Brandon Anderson, Daniel E. Ho, and Jenny Suckale. Integrating water quality data with a Bayesian network model to improve
spatial and temporal phosphorus attribution: Application to the Maumee
River Basin. Journal of Environmental Management (2024) 360: 121120. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121120

Peter D.F. Isles. A random forest approach to improve estimates of tributary nutrient loading. Water Research (2024) 248: 120876. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2023.120876

Kimia Karimi and Daniel R. Obenour. Characterizing Spatiotemporal Variability in Phosphorus Export across the United States through Bayesian Hierarchical Modeling. Environmental Science & Technology (2024) 58(22): 9782–9791. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.3c07479

Ryan S. Wagner, Michelle J. Neudeck, Alexis E. Heath, Katelyn B. Barker, Katelyn M. Brown, Seth Buchholz, Christopher S. Ward, and George S. Bullerjahn. The recent disappearance of a persistent Planktothrix bloom: Characterization of a regime shift in the phytoplankton of Sandusky Bay (USA). Harmful Algae (2024) 136: 102656. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2024.102656

2023

Michael E. Fraker, Noel R. Aloysius, Jay F. Martin, S. Conor Keitzer, David A. Dippold, Haw Yen, Jeffrey G. Arnold, Prasad Daggupati, Mari-Vaughn V. Johnson, Dale M. Robertson, Scott P. Sowa, Michael J. White, and Stuart A. Ludsin. Agricultural conservation practices could help offset climate change impacts on cyanobacterial harmful algal blooms in Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2023) 49(1): 209-219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2022.11.009

Brock Kamrath and Yongping Yuan. Streamflow duration curve to explain nutrient export in Midwestern USA watersheds: Implication for water quality achievements. Journal of Environmental Management (2023) 336: 117598. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.117598

Abhinav Gupta, Mohamed M. Hantush, and Rao S. Govindaraju. Sub-monthly time scale forecasting of harmful algal blooms intensity in Lake Erie using remote sensing and machine learning. Science of The Total Environment (2023) 900: 165781. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.165781

Andrew Meyer, Zach Raff, and Sarah Porter. Remotely sensed imagery reveals animal feeding operations increase downstream dissolved reactive phosphorus. Journal of the American Water Resources Association (2023) 60(2): 620-638. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.13177

Christina Feng Chang, Marina Astitha, Yongping Yuan, Chunling Tang, Penny Vlahos, Valerie Garcia, and Ummul Khaira. A New Approach to Predict Tributary Phosphorus Loads Using Machine Learning– and Physics-Based Modeling Systems. Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems (2023) 2(3): e220049. https://doi.org/10.1175/AIES-D-22-0049.1

Michael G. McManus, Christopher T. Nietch, Matthew T. Heberling, and Leslie Gains-Germain. Decreasing trends in total suspended solids and cumulative effects of nonpoint source projects in the Cuyahoga River Watershed, OH. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2023) 49(3): 608-620. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2023.03.011

Donald Scavia, Yu-Chen Wang, and Daniel R. Obenour. Advancing freshwater ecological forecasts: Harmful algal blooms in Lake Erie. Science of The Total Environment (2023) 856(1): 158959. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.158959

Li Zhang, Theodore A. Endreny, and Emily A. Stephan. Stochastic export coefficient model to predict annual variation in phosphorus loading from diffuse runoff. Journal of Hydrology 620(A): 129447. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129447

Christopher E. Spiese, Mitchell N. Bowling, and Sofie E.M. Moeller. Is glyphosate an underlying cause of increased dissolved reactive phosphorus loading in the Western Lake Erie basin? Journal of Great Lakes Research (2023) 49(3): 631-639. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2023.03.009

Jung-Hun Song, Younggu Her, Youn Shik Park, Kwangsik Yoon, and Hakkwan Kim. Investigating the applicability and assumptions of the regression relationship between flow discharge and nitrogen concentrations for load estimation. Heliyon (2023) 10(1): E23603. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e23603

Mark D. Rowe, Reza Valipour, and Todd M. Redder. Intercomparison of three spatially-resolved, process-based Lake Erie hypoxia models. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2023) 49(5): 993-1003. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2023.06.004

Zewei Ma, Kaiyu Guan, Bin Peng, Murugesu Sivapalan, Li Li, Ming Pan, Wang Zhou, Richard Warner, and Jingwen Zhang. Agricultural nitrate export patterns shaped by crop rotation and tile drainage. Water Research (2023) 229: 119468. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2022.119468

Serghei Anatolii Bocaniov, Donald Scavia, and Philippe Van Cappellen. Long-term phosphorus mass-balance of Lake Erie (Canada-USA) reveals a major contribution of in-lake phosphorus loading. Ecological Informatics (2023) 77: 102131. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2023.102131

J. S. Sinclair, R. Briland, M. E. Fraker, J. M. Hood, K. T. Frank, M. D. Faust, C. Knight, and S. A. Ludsin. Anthropogenic change decouples a freshwater predator’s density feedback. Scientific Reports (2023) 13: 7613. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-34408-0

Jorge A. Villa, Gil Bohrer, Yang Ju, Kelly Wrighton, Nicholas Johnson, and Lauren Kinsman-Costello. Carbon sequestration and nitrogen and phosphorus accumulation in a freshwater, estuarine marsh: Effects of microtopography and nutrient loads. Geoderma (2023) 430: 116349. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.geoderma.2023.116349

Ian M. Simpson, Ryan J. Winston, and Jay D. Dorsey. Monitoring the effects of urban and forested land uses on runoff quality: Implications for improved stormwater management. Science of The Total Environment (2023) 862: 160827. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.160827

2022

Stephen J. Jacquemin, Jocelyn Birt, Zachary Senger, Bradley Axe, Benjamin Strang, Conner Ewing, Brittany Kinney, and Silvia E. Newell. On the potential for reconstructed wetlands to remediate fecal coliform loading in an agricultural watershed. Hydrobiologia (2023) 850: 3879–3891. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10750-022-05078-2

David Wolf, Sathya Gopalakrishnan, and H. Allen Klaiber. Staying afloat: The effect of algae contamination on Lake Erie housing prices. American Journal of Agricultural Economics (2022) 104(5): 1701-1723. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajae.12285

Jung-Hun Song, Younggu Her, and Tian Guo. Quantifying the contribution of direct runoff and baseflow to nitrogen loading in the Western Lake Erie Basins. Scientific Reports (2022) 12(9216). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-12740-1

Lester L. Yuan. Improving estimates of phosphorus loads using hierarchical models. Journal of Hydrology (2022) 614(B): 128558. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128558

Timothy J. Maguire, Craig A. Stow, and Casey M. Godwin. Spatially referenced Bayesian state-space model
of total phosphorus in western Lake Erie. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 26(8): 1993-2017. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-26-1993-2022

Camilo Torres, Margaret W. Gitau, Diego Paredes-Cuervo, and Bernard Engel. Evaluation of sampling frequency impact on the accuracy of water quality status as determined considering different water quality monitoring objectives. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment (2022) 194(489). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-022-10169-7

Wenlong Liu, Shiying Tian, Mohamed A. Youssef, François P. Birgand, and George M. Chescheir. Patterns of long-term variations of nitrate concentration – Stream discharge relationships for a drained agricultural watershed in Mid-western USA. Journal of Hydrology (2022) 614(A): 128479. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128479

Lester L. Yuan, Nathan J. Smucker, Christopher T. Nietch, and Erik M. Pilgrim. Quantifying spatial and temporal relationships between diatoms and nutrients in streams strengthens evidence of nutrient effects from monitoring data. Freshwater Science (2022) 41(1): 100-112. https://doi.org/10.1086/718631

Akio Tada and Haruya Tanakamaru. Unbiased Estimates and Confidence Intervals of Riverine Loads for Low-Frequency Water Quality Monitoring Strategies. Water Resources Research (2022) 28(5): e2022WR031941. https://doi.org/10.1029/2022WR031941

Tristan D. Hicks, Caleb M. Kuns, Chandrashekar Raman, Zane T. Bates, and Subhalakshmi Nagarajan. Simplified Method for the Determination of Total Kjeldahl Nitrogen in Wastewater. Environments (2022) 9(5): 55. https://doi.org/10.3390/environments9050055

Zihan Wei, Sarfaraz Alam, Miki Verma, Margaret Hilderbran, Yuchen Wu, Brandon Anderson, Daniel E Ho, and Jenny Suckale. Integrating Water Quality Data with a Bayesian Network Model to Improve Spatial and Temporal Phosphorus Attribution: Application to the Maumee River Basin. ESS Open Archive. https://doi.org/10.1002/essoar.10512828.1

2021

Akio Tada and Haruya Tanakamaru. Unbiased Estimates and Confidence Intervals for Riverine Loads. Water Resources Research (2021) 57(3): e2020WR028170. https://doi.org/10.1029/2020WR028170

Daeryong Park, Myoung-Jin Um, Momcilo Markus, Kichul Jung, Laura Keefer, and Siddhartha Verma. Insights from an Evaluation of Nitrate Load Estimation Methods in the Midwestern United States. Sustainability (2021) 13(13): 7508. https://doi.org/10.3390/su13137508

Miller Samuel A. and Lyon Steve W. Tile Drainage Increases Total Runoff and Phosphorus Export During Wet Years in the Western Lake Erie Basin. Frontiers in Water (2021) 3. https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2021.757106

Katherine K. DeRose, Ryan W. Davis, Eric A. Monroe, and Jason C. Quinn. Economic viability of proactive harmful algal bloom mitigation through attached algal growth. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2021) 47(4): 1021-1032. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2021.04.011

Aayush Bhattarai, Sandeep Dhakal, Yogesh Gautam, and Rabin Bhattarai. Prediction of Nitrate and Phosphorus Concentrations Using Machine Learning Algorithms in Watersheds with Different Landuse. Water (2021) 13(21): 3096. https://doi.org/10.3390/w13213096

Dario Del Giudice, Shiqi Fang, Donald Scavia, Timothy W. Davis, Mary Anne Evans, and Daniel R. Obenour. Elucidating controls on cyanobacteria bloom timing and intensity via Bayesian mechanistic modeling. Science of The Total Environment (2021) 755(1): 142487. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142487

Daniel B. Perkins, Wenlin Chen, Andy Jacobson, Zechariah Stone, Mark White, Brian Christensen, Lula Ghebremichael, and Richard Brain. Development of a mixed-source, single pesticide database for use in ecological risk assessment: quality control and data standardization practices. Environmental Monitoring and Assessment (2021) 193(827). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10661-021-09596-9

Jeffrey B. Kast, Anna M. Apostel, Margaret M. Kalcic, Rebecca L. Muenich, Awoke Dagnew, Colleen M. Long, Grey Evenson, and Jay F. Martin. Source contribution to phosphorus loads from the Maumee River watershed to Lake Erie. Journal of Environmental Management (2021) 279: 111803. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2020.111803

James S. Sinclair, Michael E. Fraker, James M. Hood, Kenneth T. Frank, Mark R. DuFour, Ann Marie Gorman, and Stuart A. Ludsin. Functional traits reveal the dominant drivers of long-term community change across a North American Great Lake. Global Change Biology (2021) 27(23): 6232-6251. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.15902

Qianru Niu and Meng Xia. The behaviors of two limnetic river plumes discharging into the semi-enclosed western basin of Lake Erie during ice-free seasons. Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science (2021) 258: 107408. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecss.2021.107408

Philip N Smith, Kevin L Armbrust, Richard A. Brain, Wenlin Chen, Nika Galic, Lula Ghebremichael, Jeffrey M Giddings, Mark L Hanson, Jonathan Maul, Glen Van Der Kraak, and Keith R Solomon. Assessment of risks to listed species from the use of atrazine in the USA: a perspective. Journal of Toxicology and Environmental Health (2021) 24(6): 223-306. https://doi.org/10.1080/10937404.2021.1902890

Jessica E. Rettig and Geoffrey R. Smith. Relative strength of top-down effects of an invasive fish and bottom-up effects of nutrient addition in a simple aquatic food web. Environmental Science and Pollution Research (2021) 28: 5845–5853. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-10933-7

Timothy T. Wynne, Richard P. Stumpf, R. Wayne Litaker, and Raleigh R. Hood. Cyanobacterial bloom phenology in Saginaw Bay from MODIS and a comparative look with western Lake Erie. Harmful Algae (2021) 103: 101999. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2021.101999

Lewis A. Molot, Sherry L. Schiff, Jason J. Venkiteswaran, Helen M. Baulch, Scott N. Higgins, Arthur Zastepa, Mark J. Verschoor, and Daniel Walters. Low sediment redox promotes cyanobacteria blooms across a trophic range: implications for management. Lake and Reservoir Management (2021) 37(2): 120-142. https://doi.org/10.1080/10402381.2020.1854400

Donald Scavia, Yu-Chen Wang, Daniel R. Obenour, Anna Apostel, Samantha J. Basile, Margaret M. Kalcic, Christine J. Kirchhoff, Lorrayne Miralha, Rebecca L. Muenich, and Allison L. Steiner. Quantifying uncertainty cascading from climate, watershed, and lake models in harmful algal bloom predictions. Science of The Total Environment (2021) 759: 143487. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.143487

Jeffrey B. Kast, Margaret Kalcic, Robyn Wilson, Douglas Jackson-Smith, Nicholas Breyfogle, and Jay Martin. Evaluating the efficacy of targeting options for conservation practice adoption on watershed-scale phosphorus reductions. Water Research (2021) 201: 117375. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2021.117375

2020

James H. Larson, Enrika Hlavacek, Nathan DeJager, Mary Anne Evans, and Timothy Wynne. Preliminary analysis to estimate the spatial distribution of benefits of P load reduction: Identifying the spatial influence of phosphorus loading from the Maumee River (USA) in western Lake Erie. Ecology and Evolution (2020) 10(9): 3968-3976. https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.6160

Kichul Jung, Myoung-Jin Um, Momcilo Markus, and Daeryong Park. Comparison of Long Short-Term Memory and Weighted Regressions on Time, Discharge, and Season Models for Nitrate-N Load Estimation. Sustainability (2020) 12(15): 5942. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12155942

Florentina Moatar, Mathieu Floury, Arthur J. Gold, Michel Meybeck, Benjamin Renard, Martial Ferréol, André Chandesris, Camille Minaudo, Kelly Addy, Jérémy Piffady, and Gilles Pinay. Stream Solutes and Particulates Export Regimes: A New Framework to Optimize Their Monitoring. Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution (2020) 7(516). https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2019.00516

David A. Dippold, Noel R. Aloysius, Steven Conor Keitzer, Haw Yen, Jeffrey G. Arnold, Prasad Daggupati, Michael E. Fraker, Jay F. Martin, Dale M. Robertson, Scott P. Sowa, Mari-Vaughn V. Johnson, Mike J. White, Stuart A. Ludsin. Forecasting the combined effects of anticipated climate change and agricultural conservation practices on fish recruitment dynamics in Lake Erie. Freshwater Biology (2020) 65(9): 1487-1508. https://doi.org/10.1111/fwb.13515

Shiyang Li, Rabin Bhattarai, Richard A. Cooke, Siddhartha Verma, Xiangfeng Huang, Momcilo Markus, and Laura Christianson. Relative performance of different data mining techniques for nitrate concentration and load estimation in different type of watersheds. Environmental Pollution (2020) 263(A): 114618. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envpol.2020.114618

Jacob F. Berkowitz, Derek A. Schlea, Christine M. VanZomeren, and Chelsie M.W. Boles. Coupling watershed modeling, public engagement, and soil analysis improves decision making for targeting P retention wetland locations. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2020) 46(5): 1331-1339. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2020.06.016

Kenneth J. Gibbons and Thomas B. Bridgeman. Effect of temperature on phosphorus flux from anoxic western Lake Erie sediments. Water Research (2020) 182: 116022. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.watres.2020.116022

Mark R. Williams and Kevin W. King. Changing Rainfall Patterns Over the Western Lake Erie Basin (1975–2017): Effects on Tributary Discharge and Phosphorus Load. Water Resources Research (2020) 56(3): e2019WR025985. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR025985

Ashlynn R. Boedecker, Desi N. Niewinski, Silvia E. Newell, Justin D. Chaffin, and Mark J. McCarthy. Evaluating sediments as an ecosystem service in western Lake Erie via quantification of nutrient cycling pathways and selected gene abundances. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2020) 46(4): 920-932. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2020.04.010

Kichul Jung, Deg-Hyo Bae, Myoung-Jin Um, Siyeon Kim, Seol Jeon, and Daeryong Park. Evaluation of Nitrate Load Estimations Using Neural Networks and Canonical Correlation Analysis with K-Fold Cross-Validation. Sustainability (2020) 12(1): 400. https://doi.org/10.3390/su12010400

Christopher Wellen, Philippe Van Cappellen, Larissa Gospodyn, Janis L. Thomas, and Mohamed N. Mohamed. An analysis of the sample size requirements for acceptable statistical power in water quality monitoring for improvement detection. Ecological Indicators (2020) 118: 106684. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2020.106684

2019

Valeria Mijares, Margaret Gitau, and David R. Johnson. A Method for Assessing and Predicting Water Quality Status for Improved Decision-Making and Management. Water Resources Management (2019) 33: 509-522. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-018-2113-3

Qian Zhang and Robert M. Hirsch. River Water-Quality Concentration and Flux Estimation Can be Improved by Accounting for Serial Correlation Through an Autoregressive Model. Water Resources Research (2019) 55(11): 9705-9723. https://doi.org/10.1029/2019WR025338

Silvia E. Newell, Timothy W. Davis, Thomas H. Johengen, Duane Gossiaux, Ashley Burtner, Danna Palladino, and Mark J. McCarthy. Reduced forms of nitrogen are a driver of non-nitrogen-fixing harmful cyanobacterial blooms and toxicity in Lake Erie. Harmful Algae (2019) 81: 86-93. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2018.11.003

Dale M. Robertson, David A. Saad, Glenn A. Benoy, Ivana Vouk, Gregory E. Schwarz, and Michael T. Laitta. Phosphorus and Nitrogen Transport in the Binational Great Lakes Basin Estimated Using SPARROW Watershed Models. Journal of American Water Resources Association 55(6): 1401-1424. https://doi.org/10.1111/1752-1688.12792

Craig A. Stow, Qianqian Liu, and Eric J. Anderson. Nutrient loading and nonstationarity: The importance of differentiating the independent effects of tributary flow and nutrient concentration. WIREs Water (2019) 7(1): e1396. https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1396

Tristan C. Ballard, Eva Sinha, and Anna M. Michalak. Long-Term Changes in Precipitation and Temperature Have Already Impacted Nitrogen Loading. Environmental Science & Technology (2019) 53(9): 5080–5090. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.8b06898

Kristin E. Judd and Steven N. Francoeur. Short-term impacts of Phragmites management on nutrient budgets and plant communities in Great Lakes coastal freshwater marshes. Wetlands Ecology and Management (2019) 27: 55-74. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11273-018-9643-6

Cameron A. Irvine, Sean Backus, Sandra Cooke, Alice Dove, and Sarah B. Gewurtz. Application of continuous turbidity sensors to supplement estimates of total phosphorus concentrations in the Grand River, Ontario, Canada. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2019) 45(4): 840-849. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2019.05.007

Sei Jin Kim, Brent Sohngen, and Abdoul G. Sam. The implications of weather, nutrient prices, and other factors on nutrient concentrations in agricultural watersheds. Science of The Total Environment (2019) 650(1): 1083-1100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.09.012

Justyna J. Hampel, Mark J. McCarthy, Michelle Neudeck, George S. Bullerjahn, Robert Michael L. McKay, and Silvia E. Newell. Ammonium recycling supports toxic Planktothrix blooms in Sandusky Bay, Lake Erie: Evidence from stable isotope and metatranscriptome data. Harmful Algae (2019) 81: 42-52. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.hal.2018.11.011

Veronica Nava, Martina Patelli, Marco Rotiroti, and Barbara Leoni. An R package for estimating river compound load using different methods. Environmental Modelling & Software (2019) 117: 100-108. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2019.03.012

2018

Dale M. Robertson, Laura E. Hubbard, David L. Lorenz, and Daniel J. Sullivan. A surrogate regression approach for computing continuous loads for the tributary nutrient and sediment monitoring program on the Great Lakes. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2018) 44(1): 26-42. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2017.10.003

Suresh Sharma, Deasy Nalley, and Naba Subedi. Characterization of Temporal and Spatial Variability of Phosphorus Loading to Lake Erie from the Western Basin Using Wavelet Transform Methods. Hydrology (2018) 5(3). https://doi.org/10.3390/hydrology5030050

Siddhartha Verma, Alena Bartosova, Momcilo Markus, Richard Cooke, Myoung-Jin Um, and Daeryong Park. Quantifying the Role of Large Floods in Riverine Nutrient Loadings Using Linear Regression and Analysis of Covariance. Sustainability (2018) 10(8): 2876. https://doi.org/10.3390/su10082876

Qianru Niu, Meng Xia, Stuart A. Ludsin, Philip Y. Chu, Doran M. Mason, and Edward S. Rutherford. High-turbidity events in Western Lake Erie during ice-free cycles: Contributions of river-loaded vs. resuspended sediments. Limnology and Oceanography (2018) 63(6): 2545-2562. https://doi.org/10.1002/lno.10959

Kateri R. Salk, George S. Bullerjahn, Robert Michael L. McKay, Justin D. Chaffin, and Nathaniel E. Ostrom. Nitrogen cycling in Sandusky Bay, Lake Erie: oscillations between strong and weak export and implications for harmful algal blooms. Biogeosciences (2018) 15: 2891–2907. https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-15-2891-2018

D. Del Giudice, R. Logsdon Muenich, M. McCahon Kalcic, N.S. Bosch, D. Scavia, and A.M. Michalak. On the practical usefulness of least squares for assessing uncertainty in hydrologic and water quality predictions. Environmental Modelling & Software (2018) 105: 286-295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2018.03.009

Paul L. Mosquin, Jeremy Aldworth, and Wenlin Chen. Flow-covariate prediction of stream pesticide concentrations. Environmental Toxicology and Chemistry (2018) 37(1): 260-273. https://doi.org/10.1002/etc.3946

M. R. Brooker, K. Longnecker, E. B. Kujawinski, M. H. Evert, and P. J. Mouser. Discrete Organic Phosphorus Signatures are Evident in Pollutant Sources within a Lake Erie Tributary. Environmental Science & Technology (2018) 52(12): 6771–6779. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.7b05703

Pengfei Xue, David J Schwab, Xing Zhou, Chenfu Huang, Ryan Kibler, and Xinyu Ye. A Hybrid Lagrangian–Eulerian Particle Model for Ecosystem Simulation. Journal of Marine Science and Engineering (2018) 6(4): 109. https://doi.org/10.3390/jmse6040109

Xinxin Lu, Darren L. Bade, Laura G. Leff, and Xiaozhen Mou. The relative importance of anammox and denitrification to total N2 production in Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2018) 44(3): 428-435. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2018.03.008

Hui Xu, Daniel G. Brown, and Allison L. Steiner. Sensitivity to climate change of land use and management patterns optimized for efficient mitigation of nutrient pollution. Climatic Change (2018) 147: 647–662. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2159-5

Qian Zhang, Ciaran J. Harman, and James W. Kirchner. Evaluation of statistical methods for quantifying fractal scaling in water-quality time series with irregular sampling. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (2018) 22: 1175–1192. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-22-1175-2018

Hui Xu, Daniel G. Brown, Michael R. Moore, and William S. Currie. Optimizing Spatial Land Management to Balance Water Quality and Economic Returns in a Lake Erie Watershed. Ecological Economics (2018) 145: 104-114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.08.015

2017

Qian Zhang and William P. Ball. Improving riverine constituent concentration and flux estimation by accounting for antecedent discharge conditions. Journal of Hydrology (2017) 547: 387-402. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.12.052

Rebecca Logsdon Muenich, Margaret M. Kalcic, Jonathan Winsten, Kristin Fisher, Monica Day, Glenn O’Neil, Yu-Chen Wang, and Donald Scavia. Pay-for-Performance Conservation Using SWAT Highlights Need for Field-Level Agricultural Conservation. Transactions of the ASABE (2017) 60(6): 1925-1937. https://doi.org/10.13031/trans.12379

Di Tian, Gengxin Xie, Jing Tian, Kuo-Hsin Tseng, C. K. Shum, Jiyoung Lee, and Song Liang. Spatiotemporal variability and environmental factors of harmful algal blooms (HABs) over western Lake Erie. PLoS ONE (2017) 12(6): e0179622. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0179622

Joseph D. Conroy, Douglas D. Kane, Erin L. Quinlan, and William J. Edwards. Abiotic and biotic controls of phytoplankton biomass dynamics in a freshwater tributary, estuary, and large lake ecosystem: Sandusky Bay (Lake Erie) chemostat. Inland Waters (2017) 7(4): 473-492. https://doi.org/10.1080/20442041.2017.1395142

Isabella Bertani, Cara E. Steger, Daniel R. Obenour, Gary L. Fahnenstiel, Thomas B. Bridgeman, Thomas H. Johengen, Michael J. Sayers, Robert A. Shuchman, and Donald Scavia. Tracking cyanobacteria blooms: Do different monitoring approaches tell the same story? Science of the Total Environment (2017) 575: 294-308. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.10.023

Jeff C. Ho and Anna M. Michalak. Phytoplankton blooms in Lake Erie impacted by both long-term and springtime phosphorus loading. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2017) 43(3): 221-228. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2017.04.001

Michael F Winchell, Natalia Peranginangin, Raghavan Srinivasan, and Wenlin Chen. Soil and Water Assessment Tool model predictions of annual maximum pesticide concentrations in high vulnerability watersheds. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management (2017) 14(3): 358-368. https://doi.org/10.1002/ieam.2014

2016

Youn Shik Park and Bernie A. Engel. Identifying the Correlation between Water Quality Data and LOADEST Model Behavior in Annual Sediment Load Estimations. Water (2016) 8(9): 368. https://doi.org/10.3390/w8090368

Phoenix C. Golnick, Justin D. Chaffin, Thomas B. Bridgeman, Briana C. Zellner, and Victoria E. Simons. A comparison of water sampling and analytical methods in western Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2016) 42(5): 965-971. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2016.07.031

Matthew J. Maccoux, Alice Dove, Sean M. Backus, and David M. Dolan. Total and soluble reactive phosphorus loadings to Lake Erie: A detailed accounting by year, basin, country, and tributary. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2016) 42(6): 1151-1165. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2016.08.005

Eva Sinha and Anna M. Michalak. Precipitation Dominates Interannual Variability of Riverine Nitrogen Loading across the Continental United States. Environmental Science & Technology (2016) 50(23): 12874–12884. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.6b04455

Rebecca Logsdon Muenich, Margaret Kalcic, and Donald Scavia. Evaluating the Impact of Legacy P and Agricultural Conservation Practices on Nutrient Loads from the Maumee River Watershed. Environmental Science & Technology (2016) 50(15): 8146–8154. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.6b01421

Marie Gildow, Noel Aloysius, Seyoum Gebremariam, and Jay Martin. Fertilizer placement and application timing as strategies to reduce phosphorus loading to Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2016) 42(6): 1281-1288. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2016.07.002

Margaret McCahon Kalcic, Christine Kirchhoff, Nathan Bosch, Rebecca Logsdon Muenich, Michael Murray, Jacob Griffith Gardner, and Donald Scavia. Engaging Stakeholders To Define Feasible and Desirable Agricultural Conservation in Western Lake Erie Watersheds. Environmental Science & Technology (2016) 50(15): 8135–8145. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.6b01420

Isabella Bertani, Daniel R. Obenour, Cara E. Steger, Craig A. Stow, Andrew D. Gronewold, and Donald Scavia. Probabilistically assessing the role of nutrient loading in harmful algal bloom formation in western Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2016) 42(6): 1184-1192. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2016.04.002

Andreas M. Culbertson, Jay F. Martin, Noel Aloysius, and Stuart A. Ludsin. Anticipated impacts of climate change on 21st century Maumee River discharge and nutrient loads. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2016) 42(6): 1332-1342. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2016.08.008

Reza Valipour, Luis F. León, David Depew, Alice Dove, and Yerubandi R. Rao. High-resolution modeling for development of nearshore ecosystem objectives in eastern Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2016) 42(6): 1241-1251. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2016.08.011

Charles B. Breckenridge, Jerry L. Campbell, Harvey J. Clewell, Melvin E. Andersen, Ciriaco Valdez-Flores, and Robert L. Sielken, Jr. PBPK-Based Probabilistic Risk Assessment for Total Chlorotriazines in Drinking Water. Toxicological Sciences (2016) 150(2): 269–282. https://doi.org/10.1093/toxsci/kfw013

B F N Beall, M R Twiss, D E Smith, B O Oyserman, M J Rozmarynowycz, C E Binding, R A Bourbonniere, G S Bullerjahn, M E Palmer, E D Reavie, Lcdr M K Waters, LCDR W C Woityra, R M L McKay. Ice cover extent drives phytoplankton and bacterial
community structure in a large north-temperate lake:
implications for a warming climate. Environmental Microbiology (2016) 18(6): 1704–1719. https://doi.org/10.1111/1462-2920.12819

Casey J. Lee, Robert M. Hirsch, Gregory E. Schwarz, David J. Holtschlag, Stephen D. Preston, Charles G. Crawford, and Aldo V. Vecchia. An evaluation of methods for estimating decadal stream loads. Journal of Hydrology (2016) 542: 185-203. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.08.059

S. Conor Keitzer, Stuart A. Ludsin, Scott P. Sowa, Gust Annis, Jeff G. Arnold, Prasad Daggupati, August M. Froehlich, Matt E. Herbert, Mari-Vaughn V. Johnson, Anthony M. Sasson, Haw Yen, Mike J. White, and Charles A. Rewa. Thinking outside of the lake: Can controls on nutrient inputs into Lake Erie benefit stream conservation in its watershed? Journal of Great Lakes Research (2016) 42(6): 1322-1331. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2016.05.012

2015

Xue Ding, Mohsen Behbahani, Cyndee Gruden, and Youngwoo Seo. Characterization and evaluation of phosphate microsensors to monitor internal phosphorus loading in Lake Erie sediments. Journal of Environmental Management (2015) 160: 193-200. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2015.06.010

Robert M. Hirsch, Stacey A. Archfield, and Laura A. De Cicco. A bootstrap method for estimating uncertainty of water quality trends. Environmental Modelling & Software (2015) 73: 148-166. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2015.07.017

Timothy W. Davis, George S. Bullerjahn, Taylor Tuttle, Robert Michael McKay, and Susan B. Watson. Effects of Increasing Nitrogen and Phosphorus Concentrations on Phytoplankton Community Growth and Toxicity During Planktothrix Blooms in Sandusky Bay, Lake Erie. Environmental Science & Technology (2015) 49(12): 7197–7207. https://doi.org/10.1021/acs.est.5b00799

Brent Sohngen, Kevin W. King, Gregory Howard, John Newton, and D. Lynn Forster. Nutrient prices and concentrations in Midwestern agricultural watersheds. Ecological Economics (2015) 112: 141-149. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2015.02.008

Meredith LaBeau, Alex Mayer, Veronica Griffis, David Watkins, Dale Robertson, and Rabi Gyawali. The importance of considering shifts in seasonal changes in discharges when predicting future phosphorus loads in streams. Biogeochemistry (2015) 126: 153–172. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-015-0149-5

Long Jiang, Meng Xia, Stuart A. Ludsin, Edward S. Rutherford, Doran M. Mason, Jose Marin Jarrin, and Kevin L. Pangle. Biophysical modeling assessment of the drivers for plankton dynamics in dreissenid-colonized western Lake Erie. Ecological Modelling (2015) 308: 18-33. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2015.04.004

2014

Justin D. Chaffin, Thomas B. Bridgeman, Darren L. Bade, and Courtney N. Mobilian. Summer phytoplankton nutrient limitation in Maumee Bay of Lake Erie during high-flow and low-flow years. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2014) 40(3): 524-531. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2014.04.009

Daniel R. Obenour, Andrew D. Gronewold, Craig A. Stow, and Donald Scavia. Using a Bayesian hierarchical model to improve Lake Erie cyanobacteria bloom forecasts. Water Resources Research (2014) 50(10): 7847-7860. https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR015616

Joseph D. Conroy, Douglas D. Kane, Ruth D. Briland, and David A. Culver. Systemic, early-season Microcystis blooms in western Lake Erie and two of its major agricultural tributaries (Maumee and Sandusky rivers). Journal of Great Lakes Research (2014) 40(3): 518-523. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2014.04.015

Nathan S. Bosch, Mary Anne Evans, Donald Scavia, and J. David Allan. Interacting effects of climate change and agricultural BMPs on nutrient runoff entering Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2014) 40(3): 581-589. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2014.04.011

Youn Shik Park and Bernie A. Engel. Use of Pollutant Load Regression Models with Various Sampling Frequencies for Annual Load Estimation. Water (2014) 6(6): 1685-1697. https://doi.org/10.3390/w6061685

Justin D. Chaffin and Thomas B. Bridgeman. Organic and inorganic nitrogen utilization by nitrogen-stressed cyanobacteria during bloom conditions. Journal of Applied Phycology (2014) 26: 299-309. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10811-013-0118-0

Morgan M. Steffen, B. Shafer Belisle, Sue B. Watson, Gregory L. Boyer, and Steven W. Wilhelm. Status, causes and controls of cyanobacterial blooms in Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2014) 40(2): 215-225. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2013.12.012

Yan Jiang, Jane R. Frankenberger, Laura C. Bowling, and Zhaonan Sun. Quantification of uncertainty in estimated nitrate-N loads in agricultural watersheds. Journal of Hydrology (2014) 519(A): 106-116. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2014.06.027

C.M. Pennuto, L.E. Burlakova, A.Y. Karatayev, J. Kramer, A. Fischer, and C. Mayer. Spatiotemporal characteristics of nitrogen and phosphorus in the benthos of nearshore Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2014) 40(3): 541-549. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2014.02.013

2013

Fasong Yuan, Jaime A. Quellos, and Chaojun Fan. Controls of phosphorus loading and transport in the Cuyahoga River of northeastern Ohio, USA. Applied Geochemistry (2013) 38: 59-69. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeochem.2013.08.011

Justin D. Chaffin, Thomas B. Bridgeman, and Darren L. Bade. Nitrogen Constrains the Growth of Late Summer Cyanobacterial Blooms in Lake Erie. Advances in Microbiology (2013) 3(6A): 16-26. https://doi.org/10.4236/aim.2013.36A003

Wesley W. Stone, Charles G. Crawford, and Robert J. Gilliom. Watershed Regressions for Pesticides (WARP) Models for Predicting Stream Concentrations of Multiple Pesticides. Journal of Environmental Quality (2013) 42(6): 1838-1851. https://doi.org/10.2134/jeq2013.05.0179

Jesse E. Filbrun, Joseph D. Conroy, and David A. Culver. Understanding seasonal phosphorus dynamics to guide effective management of shallow, hypereutrophic Grand Lake St. Marys, Ohio. Lake and Reservoir Management (2013) 29(3): 165-178. https://doi.org/10.1080/10402381.2013.823469

Nathan S. Bosch, J. David Allan, James P. Selegean, and Donald Scavia. Scenario-testing of agricultural best management practices in Lake Erie watersheds. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2013) 39(3): 429-436. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2013.06.004

2012

Irem Daloğlu, Kyung Hwa Cho, and Donald Scavia. Evaluating Causes of Trends in Long-Term Dissolved Reactive Phosphorus Loads to Lake Erie. Environmental Science & Technology (2012) 46(19): 10660–10666. https://doi.org/10.1021/es302315d

Haejin Han, J. David Allan, and Nathan S. Bosch. Historical pattern of phosphorus loading to Lake Erie watersheds. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2012) 38(2): 289-298. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2012.03.004

David M. Dolan and Steven C. Chapra. Great Lakes total phosphorus revisited: 1. Loading analysis and update (1994–2008). Journal of Great Lakes Research (2012) 38: 730-740. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2012.10.001

2011

Justin D. Chaffin, Thomas B. Bridgeman, Scott A. Heckathorn, and Sasmita Mishra. Assessment of Microcystis growth rate potential and nutrient status across a trophic gradient in western Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2011) 37(1): 92-100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2010.11.016

Haejin Han, Nathan Bosch, and J. David Allan. Spatial and temporal variation in phosphorus budgets for 24 watersheds in the Lake Erie and Lake Michigan basins. Biogeochemistry (2011) 102: 45–58. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-010-9420-y

Luis F. Leon, Ralph E.H. Smith, Matthew R. Hipsey, Serghei A. Bocaniov, Scott N. Higgins, Robert E. Hecky, Jason P. Antenucci, Jorg A. Imberger, and Stephanie J. Guildford. Application of a 3D hydrodynamic–biological model for seasonal and spatial dynamics of water quality and phytoplankton in Lake Erie. Journal of Great Lakes Research (2011) 37(1): 41-53. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jglr.2010.12.007

2008

Nathan S. Bosch and J. David Allan. The influence of impoundments on nutrient budgets in two catchments of Southeastern Michigan. Biogeochemistry (2008) 87: 325–338. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10533-008-9187-6

2007

Florentina Moatar and Michel Meybeck. Riverine fluxes of pollutants: Towards predictions of uncertainties by flux duration indicators. Comptes Rendus Geoscience (2007) 339(6): 367-382. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crte.2007.05.001